Validation of human immunodeficiency virus diagnosis codes among women enrollees of a U.S. health plan.

BACKGROUND: Efficiently identifying patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) using administrative health care data (e.g., claims) can facilitate research on their quality of care and health outcomes. No prior study has validated the use of only ICD-10-CM HIV diagnosis codes to identify patients with HIV. METHODS: We validated HIV diagnosis codes among women enrolled in a large U.S. integrated health care system during 2010-2020. We examined HIV diagnosis code-based algorithms that varied by type, frequency, and timing of the codes in patients' claims data. We calculated the positive predictive values (PPVs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the algorithms using a medical record-confirmed diagnosis of HIV as the gold standard. RESULTS: A total of 272 women with ≥ 1 HIV diagnosis code in the administrative claims data were identified and medical records were reviewed for all 272 women. The PPV of an algorithm classifying women as having HIV as of the first HIV diagnosis code during the observation period was 80.5% (95% CI: 75.4-84.8%), and it was 93.9% (95% CI: 90.0-96.3%) as of the second. Little additional increase in PPV was observed when a third code was required. The PPV of an algorithm based on ICD-10-CM-era codes was similar to one based on ICD-9-CM-era codes. CONCLUSION: If the accuracy measure of greatest interest is PPV, our findings suggest that use of ≥ 2 HIV diagnosis codes to identify patients with HIV may perform well. However, health care coding practices may vary across settings, which may impact generalizability of our results.

Prevalence of Aortic Valve Calcium and the Long-Term Risk of Incident Severe Aortic Stenosis.

BACKGROUND: Aortic valve calcification (AVC) is a principal mechanism underlying aortic stenosis (AS). OBJECTIVES: This study sought to determine the prevalence of AVC and its association with the long-term risk for severe AS. METHODS: Noncontrast cardiac computed tomography was performed among 6,814 participants free of known cardiovascular disease at MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) visit 1. AVC was quantified using the Agatston method, and normative age-, sex-, and race/ethnicity-specific AVC percentiles were derived. The adjudication of severe AS was performed via chart review of all hospital visits and supplemented with visit 6 echocardiographic data. The association between AVC and long-term incident severe AS was evaluated using multivariable Cox HRs. RESULTS: AVC was present in 913 participants (13.4%). The probability of AVC >0 and AVC scores increased with age and were generally highest among men and White participants. In general, the probability of AVC >0 among women was equivalent to men of the same race/ethnicity who were approximately 10 years younger. Incident adjudicated severe AS occurred in 84 participants over a median follow-up of 16.7 years. Higher AVC scores were exponentially associated with the absolute risk and relative risk of severe AS with adjusted HRs of 12.9 (95% CI: 5.6-29.7), 76.4 (95% CI: 34.3-170.2), and 380.9 (95% CI: 169.7-855.0) for AVC groups 1 to 99, 100 to 299, and ≥300 compared with AVC = 0. CONCLUSIONS: The probability of AVC >0 varied significantly by age, sex, and race/ethnicity. The risk of severe AS was exponentially higher with higher AVC scores, whereas AVC = 0 was associated with an extremely low long-term risk of severe AS. The measurement of AVC provides clinically relevant information to assess an individual's long-term risk for severe AS.

Iodine density mapping for the diagnosis of acute bowel ischemia using fast kV-switching dual-energy CT.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the diagnostic capabilities of a supplementary color ramped iodine density map compared to virtual monoenergetic images (VMIs) at 74 keV in the diagnosis of acute bowel ischemia (ABI). METHODS: Data for this study were prospectively gathered and retrospectively evaluated. Patients referred to the Department of Diagnostic Radiology between October 2020 and August 2022 on the suspicion of ABI and underwent surgery < 12 h following fast kV-switching venous phase abdominal dual-energy CT (DECT) were consecutively included. Images were evaluated by two board-certified radiologists and two radiology residents. First round included only 74 keV VMIs resembling conventional 120 kVp images, and the second round included a supplementary iodine density map. Readers were asked to register presence of ABI as well as their confidence in their diagnosis based on a 5-point Likert scale. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated for each observer with the surgical findings as the gold-standard. McNemar's and Wilcoxon signed-rank test were used to compare registrations and diagnostic confidence across assessment rounds. RESULTS: A total of 29 patients resulting in 31 DECT scans were included. Fourteen cases of ischemic/necrotic bowel were reported following surgery. Sensitivity and NPV were decreased with the use of supplementary iodine map images compared to 120 kVp-like images without supplementary iodine map images for three of four observers (round 1 range: 71.4-92.9% and 78.0-94.8%; round 2 range: 57.1-78.6% and 70.1-83.3%, respectively), while specificity and PPV were increased for three of four observers (round 1 range: 64.7-94.1% and 67.4-93.1%; round 2 range: 88.2-94.1% and 73.8-91.1%, respectively). However, no significant difference in ABI diagnosis or diagnostic confidence was found (p-value range: 0.07-1.00 and 0.23-0.58, respectively). CONCLUSION: No significant difference for the diagnosis of ABI was found using supplementary iodine mapping. Our study may suggest a trend of increased specificity and decreased sensitivity, hence, the use of supplementary iodine mapping should be carefully considered.

[Update of triggers for detection of adverse drug events in hematologic patients]. / Atualização dos rastreadores para detecção de eventos adversos a medicamentos em pacientes hematológicos.

The use of triggers for the active search and detection of adverse drug events (ADEs) has been gaining ground within pharmacovigilance services. Thus, the main objective of the study was to propose a new list of triggers to be used in a center specialized in hematology in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. The update of the list of triggers consisted of revising the current list, with the exclusion and inclusion of new triggers. To verify the performance of the new list of triggers, a cross-sectional study was conducted in which the new triggers were used to investigate the occurrence of ADEs in patients attended in the emergency unit or hospitalized from January to March 2022. For each suspected ADEs, the patient's profile and adverse drug reactions (ADRs) were characterized regarding causality and severity. The performance of the triggers and their ability to capture ADEs were estimated using the following indicators: frequency of the trigger per 100 medical records, frequency of ADEs per 100 records, and positive predictive value (PPV). To evaluate the overall performance of the proposed new list, the PPV was estimated. A total of 374 prescriptions for triggers were identified in 186 medical records. The most efficient in the detection of possible ADEs were: lidocaine, loperamide, bisacodyl, filgrastim and glycerin clyster. The overall PPV of the new suggested list was 48% versus 10% of the previous list. This study demonstrated the importance of an updated list of triggers for the monitoring of ADEs and improvement of the care provided.

A utilização de rastreadores para a busca ativa e detecção de eventos adversos a medicamentos (EAM) tem ganhado espaço nos serviços de farmacovigilância. Assim, o objetivo principal do estudo foi propor uma nova lista de rastreadores para ser empregada em um centro especializado em hematologia do Rio de Janeiro, Brasil. A atualização da lista de rastreadores consistiu na revisão da lista atual, com a exclusão e inclusão de rastreadores. Para verificar o desempenho da nova lista de rastreadores, realizou-se um estudo transversal em que os novos rastreadores foram utilizados para investigar a ocorrência de EAM em pacientes atendidos na emergência ou hospitalizados no período de janeiro a março de 2022. Para cada suspeita de EAM identificada, caracterizaram-se o perfil do paciente e as reações adversas a medicamentos (RAM) quanto à causalidade e gravidade. O desempenho dos rastreadores e sua capacidade de captação de EAM foram calculados por meio dos indicadores: frequência do rastreador por 100 prontuários, frequência de EAM por 100 prontuários e valor preditivo positivo (VPP). Para avaliar o desempenho global da nova lista proposta, calculou-se o VPP. Foram identificadas 374 prescrições de rastreadores em 186 prontuários. Os mais eficientes na detecção de possíveis EAM foram: lidocaína, loperamida, bisacodil, filgrastim e clister de glicerina. O VPP global da nova lista sugerida foi 48% contra 10% da lista anterior. Este estudo demonstrou a importância de uma lista de rastreadores atualizada para o monitoramento dos EAM e o aprimoramento da assistência prestada.

El uso de rastreadores en la búsqueda y detección activa de eventos adversos de medicamentos (EAM) viene ganando espacio dentro de los servicios de farmacovigilancia. Por lo tanto, el objetivo principal de este estudio fue proponer una nueva lista de rastreadores que se utilizarán en un centro de hematología especializado en Río de Janeiro, Brasil. La actualización de la lista de rastreadores consistió en la revisión de la lista actual, con la exclusión e inclusión de rastreadores. Para verificar el desempeño de la nueva lista de rastreadores, se realizó un estudio transversal en el que se utilizaron los nuevos rastreadores para investigar la aparición de EAM en pacientes atendidos en urgencias u hospitalizados en el periodo de enero a marzo de 2022. Para cada sospecha de EAM identificados, el perfil del paciente y las reacciones adversas a medicamentos (RAM) se caracterizaron por su causalidad y gravedad. El desempeño de los rastreadores y su capacidad para capturar EAM se calcularon mediante los indicadores: frecuencia del rastreador por cada 100 registros médicos, frecuencia de EAM por cada 100 registros médicos y valor predictivo positivo (VPP). Para evaluar el desempeño general de la nueva lista propuesta, se calculó el VPP. Se identificaron 374 recetas de rastreadores en 186 registros médicos. Los más eficientes en la detección de posibles EAM fueron lidocaína, loperamida, bisacodilo, filgrastim y enema de glicerina. El VPP general de la nueva lista sugerida fue del 48% frente al 10% de la lista anterior. Este estudio demostró la importancia de una lista actualizada de rastreadores para monitorear EAM y mejorar la atención brindada.

Validation of ICD-10 hospital discharge diagnosis codes to identify incident and recurrent ischemic stroke from a US integrated healthcare system.

PURPOSE: This study validated incident and recurrent ischemic stroke identified by International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10) hospital discharge diagnosis codes. METHODS: Using electronic health records (EHR) of adults (≥18 years) receiving care from Kaiser Permanente Southern California with ICD-10 hospital discharge diagnosis codes of ischemic stroke (I63.x, G46.3, and G46.4) between October 2015 and September 2020, we identified 75 patients with both incident and recurrent stroke events (total 150 cases). Two neurologists independently evaluated validity of ICD-10 codes through chart reviews. RESULTS: The positive predictive value (PPV, 95% CI) for incident stroke was 93% (95% CI: 88%, 99%) and the PPV for recurrent stroke was 72% (95% CI: 62%, 82%). The PPV for recurrent stroke improved after applying a gap of 20 days (PPV of 75%; 95% CI: 63%, 87%) or removing hospital admissions related to stroke-related procedures (PPV of 78%; 95% CI: 68%, 88%). CONCLUSION: The ICD-10 hospital discharge diagnosis codes for ischemic stroke showed a high PPV for incident cases, while the PPV for recurrent cases were less optimal. Algorithms to improve the accuracy of ICD-10 codes for recurrent ischemic stroke may be necessary.

The effect of increased plasma potassium on myocardial function; a randomized POTCAST substudy.

Plasma potassium (p-K) in the high-normal range has been suggested to reduce risk of cardiovascular arrythmias and mortality through electrophysiological and mechanical effects on the myocardium. In this study, it was to investigated if increasing p-K to high-normal levels improves systolic- and diastolic myocardial function in patients with low-normal to moderately reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). The study included 50 patients (mean age 58 years (SD 14), 81% men), with a mean p-K 3.95 mmol/l (SD 0.19), mean LVEF 48% (SD 7), and mean Global Longitudinal Strain (GLS) -14.6% (SD 3.1) patients with LVEF 35-55% from "Targeted potassium levels to decrease arrhythmia burden in high-risk patients with cardiovascular diseases trial" (POTCAST). Patients were given standard therapy and randomized (1:1) to an intervention that included guidance on potassium-rich diets, potassium supplements, and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists targeting high-normal p-K levels (4.5-5.0 mmol/l). Echocardiography was done at baseline and after a mean follow-up of 44 days (SD 18) and the echocardiograms were analyzed for changes in GLS, mechanical dispersion, E/A, e', and E/e'. At follow-up, mean difference in changes in p-K was 0.52 mmol/l (95%CI 0.35;0.69), P<0.001 in the intervention group compared to controls. GLS was improved with a mean difference in changes of -1.0% (-2;-0.02), P<0.05 and e' and E/e' were improved with a mean difference in changes of 0.9 cm/s (0.02;1.7), P = 0.04 and ? 1.5 (-2.9;-0.14), P = 0.03, respectively. Thus, induced increase in p-K to the high-normal range improved indices of systolic and diastolic function in patients with low-normal to moderately reduced LVEF.

Diagnostic validation and development of an algorithm for identification of intussusception in children using electronic health records of Ningbo city in China.

BACKGROUND: Monitoring the risk of intussusception after the introduction of rotavirus vaccines is recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO). Although the validity of intussusception monitoring using electronic health records (EHRs) has been confirmed previously, no similar studies have been conducted in China. We aimed to verify the diagnosis and determine an algorithm with the best performance for identification of intussusception using Chinese EHR databases. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Using the Regional Health Information Platform in Ningbo, patients aged 0-72 months from 2015 to 2021 with any related visits for intussusception were included. The algorithms were based on diagnostic codes or keywords in different clinical scenarios, and their performance was evaluated with positive predictive value (PPV) and sensitivity in line with the Brighton guidelines. RESULTS: Brighton level 1 intussusception was confirmed in 2958 patients with 3246 episodes. Fine-tuned algorithms combining the appearance of the relevant ICD-10 codes or the Chinese keyword 'Chang Tao' in any diagnostic reports with the results of enema treatments or related surgeries showed the highest sensitivity, while the highest PPV was obtained by further criteria based on typical radiographic appearances. CONCLUSION: Intussusception could be identified and validated internally using EHRs in Ningbo.

Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Patients With Ibrutinib-Associated Cardiotoxicity.

Importance: Ibrutinib has been associated with serious cardiotoxic arrhythmias. In preclinical models, these events are paralleled or proceeded by diffuse myocardial injury (inflammation and fibrosis). Yet whether this is seen in patients or has implications for future cardiotoxic risk is unknown. Objective: To assess the incidence and outcomes of myocardial injury among patients with ibrutinib-related cardiotoxicity. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study included consecutive patients treated with ibrutinib from 2012 to 2019, phenotyped using cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) from a large US Comprehensive Cancer Center registry. Exposures: Ibrutinib treatment for cancer control. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the presence of late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) fibrosis. The secondary outcome was the occurrence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE), defined as atrial fibrillation, heart failure, symptomatic ventricular arrhythmias, and sudden death of probable or definite ibrutinib association after CMR. We also assessed parametric-mapping subclinical fibrosis (native-T1, extracellular volume fraction) and inflammation/edema (max-T2) measures. Cardiovascular magnetic resonance measures were compared with those obtained in similar consecutive patients with cancer without ibrutinib treatment (pretreatment controls). Observed measures were also compared with similar-aged broad population rates (general-population controls) and a broader pool of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk-matched cancer controls. Multivariable regression was used to assess the association between CMR measures and MACE. Results: Overall, 49 patients treated with ibrutinib were identified, including 33 imaged after treatment initiation (mean [SD] age, 65 [10] years, 9 [27%] with hypertension, and 23 [69.7%] with index-arrhythmias); median duration of ibrutinib-use was 14 months. The mean (SD) pretreatment native T1 was 977.0 (73.0) ms, max-T2 56.5 (4.0) ms, and 4 (13.3%) had LGE. Posttreatment initiation, mean (SD) native T1 was 1033.7 (48.2) ms, max-T2 61.5 (4.8) ms, and 17 (54.8%) had LGE (P < .001, P = .01, and P < .001, respectively, pre- vs post-ibrutinib treatment). Native T12SDs was elevated in 9 (28.6%), and max-T22SDs in 21 (63.0%), respectively. Cardiovascular magnetic resonance measures were highest in those with suspected toxic effects (P = .01 and P = .01, respectively). There was no association between traditional CVD-risk or cancer-treatment status and abnormal CMR measures. Among those without traditional CVD, 16 (58.6%) had LGE vs 38 (13.3%) in matched-controls (relative-risk, 4.8; P < .001). Over a median follow-up of 19 months, 13 (39.4%) experienced MACE. In multivariable models inclusive of traditional CVD risk factors, LGE (hazard ratio [HR], 4.9; P = .04), and native-T12SDs (HR, 3.3; P = .05) associated with higher risks of MACE. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, myocardial injury was common in ibrutinib users, and its presence was associated with higher cardiotoxic risk.

Predictive value of 6 h postoperative parathyroid hormone level on permanent hypoparathyroidism in pediatric total thyroidectomy: a pilot study.

OBJECTIVES: Transient hypocalcemia is a common complication after pediatric total thyroidectomy, while permanent hypoparathyroidism (PH) is relatively uncommon. To date there is no model to predict which patients will develop PH based on post-operative makers. We aim to identify pediatric patients who are at high risk of PH following thyroidectomy based on 6 h post-operative parathyroid hormone (PTH) value. METHODS: A retrospective review of 122 pediatric patients undergoing total thyroidectomy between 2016 and 2022 following implementation of a multidisciplinary team was performed. Outcome of interest was permanent hypoparathyroidism, defined as need for calcium supplementation at 6 months postoperatively. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to determine PTH value at 6 h post-operative that was predictive of permanent hypoparathyroidism. RESULTS: Rates of permanent hypoparathyroidism reported are similar to those described in the literature with 12 patients (10.9%) developing PH. In patients who developed PH, mean 6 h postoperative PTH was 5.12 pg/mL. Mean 6 h postoperative PTH level in those who did not develop PH was 31.34 pg/mL (p<0.0001). The 6 h post-operative PTH value predictive for PH was ≤11.3 pg/mL. PTH cutoff of ≤11.3 pg/mL had a sensitivity of 100%, specificity of 72.2%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 27.0%, and negative predictive value (NPV) of 100%. CONCLUSIONS: 6 h postoperative PTH values were found to be predictive of permanent hypoparathyroidism in pediatric total thyroidectomy: a 6 h postoperative PTH level of >11.3 pg/mL excludes permanent hypoparathyroidism, but if PTH is ≤11.3 pg/mL at 6 h, approximately 1/3 of patients may persist with permanent hypoparathyroidism.

Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis: Relationship between Left Ventricular Shape at Cardiac MRI and 10-year Outcomes.

Background Left ventricular (LV) subclinical remodeling is associated with adverse outcomes and indicates mechanisms of disease development. Standard metrics such as LV mass and volumes may not capture the full range of remodeling. Purpose To quantify the relationship between LV three-dimensional shape at MRI and incident cardiovascular events over 10 years. Materials and Methods In this retrospective study, 5098 participants from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis who were free of clinical cardiovascular disease underwent cardiac MRI from 2000 to 2002. LV shape models were automatically generated using a machine learning workflow. Event-specific remodeling signatures were computed using partial least squares regression, and random survival forests were used to determine which features were most associated with incident heart failure (HF), coronary heart disease (CHD), and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events over a 10-year follow-up period. The discrimination improvement of adding LV shape to traditional cardiovascular risk factors, coronary artery calcium scores, and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide levels was assessed using the index of prediction accuracy and time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to illustrate the ability of remodeling signatures to predict the end points. Results Overall, 4618 participants had sufficient three-dimensional MRI information to generate patient-specific LV models (mean age, 60.6 years ± 9.9 [SD]; 2540 women). Among these participants, 147 had HF, 317 had CHD, and 455 had CVD events. The addition of LV remodeling signatures to traditional cardiovascular risk factors improved the mean AUC for 10-year survival prediction and achieved better performance than LV mass and volumes; HF (AUC, 0.83 ± 0.01 and 0.81 ± 0.01, respectively; P < .05), CHD (AUC, 0.77 ± 0.01 and 0.75 ± 0.01, respectively; P < .05), and CVD (AUC, 0.78 ± 0.0 and 0.76 ± 0.0, respectively; P < .05). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that participants with high-risk HF remodeling signatures had a 10-year survival rate of 56% compared with 95% for those with low-risk scores. Conclusion Left ventricular event-specific remodeling signatures were more predictive of heart failure, coronary heart disease, and cardiovascular disease events over 10 years than standard mass and volume measures and enable an automatic personalized medicine approach to tracking remodeling. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Validation of Acute Pancreatitis Among Adults in an Integrated Healthcare System.

BACKGROUND: Acute pancreatitis is a serious gastrointestinal disease that is an important target for drug safety surveillance. Little is known about the accuracy of ICD-10 codes for acute pancreatitis in the United States, or their performance in specific clinical settings. We conducted a validation study to assess the accuracy of acute pancreatitis ICD-10 diagnosis codes in inpatient, emergency department (ED), and outpatient settings. METHODS: We reviewed electronic medical records for encounters with acute pancreatitis diagnosis codes in an integrated healthcare system from October 2015 to December 2019. Trained abstractors and physician adjudicators determined whether events met criteria for acute pancreatitis. RESULTS: Out of 1,844 eligible events, we randomly sampled 300 for review. Across all clinical settings, 182 events met validation criteria for an overall positive predictive value (PPV) of 61% (95% confidence intervals [CI] = 55, 66). The PPV was 87% (95% CI = 79, 92%) for inpatient codes, but only 45% for ED (95% CI = 35, 54%) and outpatient (95% CI = 34, 55%) codes. ED and outpatient encounters accounted for 43% of validated events. Acute pancreatitis codes from any encounter type with lipase >3 times the upper limit of normal had a PPV of 92% (95% CI = 86, 95%) and identified 85% of validated events (95% CI = 79, 89%), while codes with lipase <3 times the upper limit of normal had a PPV of only 22% (95% CI = 16, 30%). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that ICD-10 codes accurately identified acute pancreatitis in the inpatient setting, but not in the ED and outpatient settings. Laboratory data substantially improved algorithm performance.

Positive Predictive Value of Diagnosis Codes for Hidradenitis Suppurativa and Cutaneous Abscess.

BACKGROUND: Requisite to the application of clinical databases for observational research in hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) is the identification of an accurate case cohort. There is limited information on the validity of using diagnosis codes to identify HS and cutaneous abscess (CA) case cohorts. OBJECTIVES: The objective of the study was to assess the validity in utilizing diagnosis codes to establish the HS and CA cohorts from an integrated health system clinical database. METHODS: In this retrospective study, we evaluated a case-finding algorithm for HS which included the presence of at least one diagnosis code for HS and no diagnosis codes for CA of the axilla, groin, perineum, or buttock at any time. We evaluated a case-finding algorithm for CA which included the presence of at least one diagnosis code for abscess in the axilla, groin, perineum, or buttock and no codes for HS at any time. Medical records for a random sample of 100 patients meeting algorithm criteria were reviewed and adjudicated by dermatologists for accuracy of diagnosis. The positive predictive values (PPVs) of the ICD code-based case definitions were calculated, using the dermatologist's chart-based adjudication as the reference standard. RESULTS: Among 100 HS patients, median age (interquartile range) in the HS cohort was 33 (24.75, 43.25) years. HS patients were predominantly female (82%) and white (70%). Median age among 100 CA patients was 31.5 (95% CI 6.75, 47.25) years. The majority of CA patients were female (56%) and white (69%). The PPVs of the ICD-based case-finding algorithms for HS and CA were 88% (95% CI 81.6-94.4%) and 75.0% (95% CI 66.5-83.5%), respectively. CONCLUSION: The case-finding algorithms employing at least one diagnosis code for HS and CA of the axilla, groin, perineum, or buttock, with the exclusion of the other's diagnosis codes, has good to strong PPV and may provide balance in achieving accuracy and adequate power for cohorts identified within clinical databases.

Efficacy of the Crisis Risk Triage Scale in Inpatient Units Within the United States.

ABSTRACT: Patient violence toward others, including doctors and nurses, is a serious concern worldwide. A wealth of literature supports the assertion that violent behavior can be prevented with proper screening and management policies. This project aimed to evaluate the Crisis Triage Rating Scale (CTRS) within a 12-hospital integrated healthcare delivery system located in the southeastern United States. An initial sample of 112,708 unique patient visits between January 2019 and December 2020 was included in this retrospective review of electronic health records. We found that the CTRS harm triage question and risk levels were significant predictors of harm to others. Consistent with previous literature, positive predictive values ranged between 0.025 and 0.070 and negative predictive values ranged between 0.991 and 0.995. Our results support the assertion that clinicians should make balanced judgments about using a positive risk score to allocate safety measures. Variations in practice were evident across our healthcare systems. Improving appropriate assessment procedures may improve the diagnostic tools and risk stratification. When documented correctly, the CTRS performed as expected in an environment where harm to others occurred infrequently.

Coronary artery calcium and cystatin C for risk stratification of MACCEs and all-cause death in symptomatic patients.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to examine the independent and joint associations of baseline coronary artery calcium score (CACS) and cystatin C (Cys-C) with the risk of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) and all-cause death in symptomatic populations. METHODS: The study included 7140 patients with symptom of chest pain who underwent cardiac computerized tomography examinations to measure CACS. All of them had serum Cys-C results. Endpoints were set for MACCEs and all-cause death events. RESULTS: A total of 7140 participants were followed for a median of 1106 days. A total of 305 patients had experienced MACCEs and 191 patients had experienced all-cause death. CACS ≥ 100 and Cys-C ≥ 0.995 mg/L were independently associated with an increased risk of MACCEs (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.46; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.15-1.85; p = .002 and adjusted HR: 1.57; 95% CI: 1.24-2.00; p < .001, respectively). Compared with CACS < 100 and Cys-C < 0.995 mg/L patients, CACS ≥ 100 and Cys-C ≥ 0.995 mg/L patients had the highest risk of MACCEs and all-cause death (adjusted HR: 2.33; 95% CI: 1.64-3.29; p < .001 and adjusted HR: 2.85; 95% CI: 1.79-4.55; p < .001, respectively). Even in patients with CACS < 100, Cys-C ≥ 0.995 mg/L was also associated with a higher risk of MACCEs and all-cause death than Cys-C < 0.995 mg/L (adjusted HR: 1.76; p = .003 and adjusted HR: 2.02; p = .007, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The combined stratification of CACS and Cys-C showed an incremental risk of MACCEs and all-cause death, reflecting complementary prognostic value. Our results support the combination of the two indicators for risk stratification and event prediction.

Identifying monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance from electronic health records.

BACKGROUND: Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) precedes multiple myeloma (MM). Use of electronic health records may facilitate large-scale epidemiologic research to elucidate risk factors for the progression of MGUS to MM or other lymphoid malignancies. AIMS: We evaluated the accuracy of an electronic health records-based approach for identifying clinically diagnosed MGUS cases for inclusion in studies of patient outcomes/ progression risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were retrieved from Kaiser Permanente Southern California's comprehensive electronic health records, which contain documentation of all outpatient and inpatient visits, laboratory tests, diagnosis codes and a cancer registry. We ascertained potential MGUS cases diagnosed between 2008 and 2014 using the presence of an MGUS ICD-9 diagnosis code (273.1). We initially excluded those diagnosed with MM within 6 months after MGUS diagnosis, then subsequently those with any lymphoid malignancy diagnosis from 2007 to 2014. We reviewed medical charts for 100 randomly selected potential cases for evidence of a physician diagnosis of MGUS, which served as our gold standard for case confirmation. To assess sensitivity, we also investigated the presence of the ICD-9 code in the records of 40 randomly selected and chart review-confirmed MGUS cases among patients with a laboratory report of elevated circulating monoclonal (M-) protein (a key test for MGUS diagnosis) and no subsequent lymphoid malignancy (as described above). The positive predictive value (PPV) for the ICD-9 code was 98%. All MGUS cases confirmed by chart review also had confirmatory laboratory test results. Of the confirmed cases first identified via M-protein test results, 88% also had the ICD-9 diagnosis code. CONCLUSION: The diagnosis code-based approach has excellent PPV and likely high sensitivity for detecting clinically diagnosed MGUS. The generalizability of this approach outside an integrated healthcare system warrants further evaluation.

Using a machine learning-based risk prediction model to analyze the coronary artery calcification score and predict coronary heart disease and risk assessment.

OBJECTIVES: To calculate the coronary artery calcification score (CACS) obtained from coronary artery computed tomography angiography (CCTA) examination and combine it with the influencing factors of coronary artery calcification (CAC), which is then analyzed by machine learning (ML) to predict the probability of coronary heart disease(CHD). METHODS: All patients who were admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine of Southwest Medical University from January 2019 to March 2022, suspected of CHD, and underwent CCTA inspection were retrospectively selected. The degree of CAC was quantified based on the Agatston score. To compare the correlation between the CACS and clinical-related factors, we collected 31 variables, including hypertension, diabetes, smoking, hyperlipidemia, among others. ML models containing the random forest (RF), radial basis function neural network (RBFNN),support vector machine (SVM),K-Nearest Neighbor algorithm (KNN) and kernel ridge regression (KRR) were used to assess the risk of CHD based on CACS and clinical-related factors. RESULTS: Among the five ML models, RF achieves the best performance about accuracy (ACC) (78.96%), sensitivity (SN) (93.86%), specificity(Spe) (51.13%), and Matthew's correlation coefficient (MCC) (0.5192).It also has the best area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC) (0.8375), which is far superior to the other four ML models. CONCLUSION: Computer ML model analysis confirmed the importance of CACS in predicting the occurrence of CHD, especially the outstanding RF model, making it another advancement of the ML model in the field of medical analysis.

Computed tomography with positron emission tomography is more useful in local than systemic infectious process related to cardiac implanted electrotherapy device: a prospective controlled multicenter diagnostic intervention PET-Guidance Trial.

Assess the diagnostic value of 18-F FDG PET/CT in cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIED) infections in facilitating diagnostic process and optimizing decision-making process.Study group (n = 21) patients with initial suspected diagnosis of CIED-related infection or fever of unknown origin and patients referred for device removal due to infection. Control group (n = 13) patients with implanted CIED, who underwent PET/CT due to other non-infectious indications and had no data for infectious process in follow-up.PET/CT scan showed pocket infection in 12 patients (including 1 in whom infection was not finally diagnosed-the examination was performed early after the implantation procedure-1.5 months), increased tracer uptake in intravascular lead part in 3 patients, and increased uptake in intracardiac part in 5 patients.We found that sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the diagnosis made by PET/CT in generator pocket infection was 91.7%, 70%, 78.6%, 87.5% and in lead-dependent intracardiac infection 100%, 47.1%, 35.7%, 100% respectively. PET/CT scan enabled reclassification of diagnosis from possible to definite CIED-related infection in 6 out of 9 patients, and to excluded in 3 out of 9.Establishing diagnosis of device related infections may be challenging due to non-specific symptoms. Incorporation of PET/CT scan in the diagnostic schema can improve accuracy and timing of the diagnosis and help to assess the extent of infection. PET/CT is more useful in local than systemic infectious process related to cardiac implanted electrotherapy device.Trial registration Consent of the bioethics committee nr IK-NP.-0021-85/1465/14. Registration in the www.clinicaltrials.gov database: NCT02196753.

Establishment of Clinical Construct of Intrinsic Capacity in Older Adults and Its Prediction of Functional Decline.

Background: The World Health Organization has conceptualised the health and healthcare of older adults around the concept of healthy ageing. Healthy ageing is defined as "the process of developing and maintaining the functional ability that enables well-being in older age". This functional ability is the sum of two key factors: intrinsic capacity and interacting environment. This concept of intrinsic capacity encompasses a wide spectrum of health characteristics including the physiological and psychological changes associated with the ageing process. In general, IC declines from a high and stable state to an impaired status as people age. Monitoring individuals for changes in intrinsic capacity in the context of their environment will provide a holistic method of tracking the functioning of older adults at both a population and individual level, providing an opportunity to address any reversible factors of decline. However, this would require a clear and objective conceptualisation of the concept of intrinsic capacity. Methodology: One hundred subjects were recruited via invitation by advertisement on the institute campus. Study participants underwent detailed physical examination and measurement of various physical and chemical biomarkers which were likely to represent intrinsic capacity as evidenced by the literature review. Outcomes measured were a decline in ADL, IADL, mortality and hospitalisation over a follow-up period of six months. Exploratory factor analysis (EFA) was done to obtain a clinical construct of the proposed entity of intrinsic capacity. Unpaired t-test and univariate logistic regression were used to check for the association between the composite score (IC) and its domains with the decline in ADL, IADL, mortality and hospitalisation. Results: One composite score (composite IC score) and eight subfactors emerged. The composite score and subfactor domains showed good construct validity. Composite intrinsic capacity score and subdomains of strength and cognition were significantly different among subjects with and without ADL and IADL decline. Univariate logistic regression showed that composite intrinsic capacity score was a predictor of decline in ADL and IADL even after adjusting for age, sex, comorbidity status and education level of the subject with an adjusted odds ratio of 0.99 and 0.98, respectively. Subdomains of strength and cognition also predicted a decline in ADL and IADL independently. Conclusion: The development of an objective construct of the concept of intrinsic capacity, using commonly measured clinical and biochemical parameters, is feasible and predictive of the subsequent functionality of an individual.

D-dimer Thresholds to Exclude Pulmonary Embolism among COVID-19 Patients in the Emergency Department: Derivation with Independent Validation.

OBJECTIVE: To derive and validate a D-dimer cutoff for ruling out pulmonary embolism (PE) in COVID-19 patients presenting to the emergency department (ED). METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed in an integrated healthcare system including 22 adult ED's between March 1, 2020, and January 31, 2021. Results were validated among patients enrolled in the RECOVER Registry, representing data from 154 ED's from 26 US states. Consecutive ED patients with laboratory confirmed COVID-19, a D-dimer performed within 48 h of ED arrival, and with objectively confirmed PE were compared to those without PE. After identifying a D-dimer threshold at which the 95% confidence lower bound of the negative predictive value for PE was higher than 98% in the derivation cohort, it was validated using RECOVER registry data. RESULTS: Among 3978 patients with a D-dimer result, 3583 with confirmed COVID-19 infection were included in the derivation cohort. Overall, PE incidence was 4.1% and a D-dimer cutoff of <2 µ/mL (2000 ng/mL) was associated with a NPV of 98.5% (95% CI = 98.0%-98.9%). In the validation cohort of 13,091 patients with a D-dimer, 7748 had confirmed COVID-19 infection, and the PE incidence was 1.14%. A D-dimer cutoff of <2 µ/mL was associated with a NPV of 99.5% (95% CI = 99.3%-99.7%). CONCLUSION: A D-dimer cutoff of <2 µ/ml was associated with a high negative predictive value for PE among patients with COVID-19. However, the resultant sensitivity for PE result at that threshold without pre-test probability assessment would be considered clinically unsafe.